The Russian leadership shifts the economic problems connected with sanctions to the population. A corresponding statement was made by expert of the International Center for Advanced Studies Nikolai Kapitonenko during the expert discussion "Anti-Russian sanctions: An instrument of influence or demonstration of powerlessness?" QHA correspondent reports.
“Russia, like any other country under sanctions, has several ways to minimize or avoid the effect of sanctions. This is the finding of alternative sources of supply or markets, counterstrategies such as smuggling, as well as import substitution and accumulation, and also active use of shifting economic problems related to sanctions to different groups of the population,” he said.
According to the expert, the likelihood that sanctions against Russian oligarchs will force them to rebel against Putin is extremely low.
“The logic of simple solutions rarely works with sanctions. This applies to setting goals, and to determining the success or failure of sanctions that are imposed. Speaking of Russia, in particular, the beliefs prevalent in Ukraine that the introduction of further sanctions will sooner or later lead to the suffering of the oligarchs who will arrange something like a riot or a conspiracy against President Putin are beliefs on which it is impossible to build a strategy. The probability of such a scenario is extremely low. Sanctions do not work properly against authoritarian regimes, like the one built in Russia, where the fate of the oligarchs depends entirely on the president. They do not have a question: do they get more or less, but the question is whether to get anything or nothing. Therefore, such simple solutions, which we often hope for, will not work,” he said.
Earlier, on April 6, the US Treasury reported that the United States included in the sanctions list 38 Russian businessmen, officials and companies. In total - 7 Russian businessmen, 14 companies, and 17 Russian officials.
Sanctions, in particular, are imposed against such oligarchs as Oleg Deripaska, Suleiman Kerimov, Kirill Shamalov and Viktor Vekselberg. Also among those who are now subject to restrictions are the head of Gazprom Aleksei Miller, FSB director Nikolai Patrushev and other officials.